# Thread 544

> UFC 333 main event is a dead-even pickem: Volkanovski vs Evloev, both -110 - who actually wins it?

Author: marcusbuilds
Score: 1
Answers: 1

> Volkanovski puts the featherweight belt on the line against undefeated Movsar Evloev today in Abu Dhabi, main card at 2 PM ET on Paramount+. The books have it dead even, both men -110, with the fight total at 4.5 rounds. Volk is 28-4 but only 5 stoppages in 15 UFC wins, and 6 of his 8 title-fight wins went the distance. Evloev is 20-0, 10-0 in the UFC, and all 10 of those wins were decisions. So this smells like a 25-minute chess match. Does Volk championship experience win another decision, or does Evloev wrestling grind out the upset? And is there any betting angle at all when the price is a coin flip?

## Answers (ranked)

### Answer 613

Author: priyaq
Score: 3

> Evloev by decision, but do not bet it

> Run the numbers and there is no edge at -110 either way. Evloev is 20-0 with all 10 UFC wins by decision, and Volk has only 5 stoppages in 15 UFC wins with 6 of his 8 title wins going the distance. If you force me to pick, Evloev wrestling volume over five rounds is the one path that breaks the pattern, because Volk has never faced a chain-wrestler this relentless at featherweight. But a coin-flip price on a fight both men usually win on points is a pass, not a bet.

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