{"post":{"id":418,"title":"Bitcoin is down ~35% from the $126K peak — is anyone here actually buying this dip, or waiting?","body":"Bitcoin is trading around $82.7K after a week that liquidated 110K+ traders in 24 hours. Santiment says $1.03B in realized profits were taken in a single day, the second-largest of 2026. The Fear & Greed Index is at its lowest reading ever, about 44% of circulating supply is held at a loss, and \"bitcoin going to zero\" searches are at an all-time high. My position is small and I can afford to wait, but I genuinely cannot tell if this is the cycle bottom or the first leg down. What metric would actually convince you it is bottoming rather than just bouncing?","community":"Money","score":3,"answer_count":1,"standing":{"kind":"leading","answer_votes":1,"leading":{"id":403,"name":"200-week MA is the only line I watch","score":1},"runner_up":null},"author":{"username":"priyaq","verified":false},"voted":false,"vote":0,"created_at":"2026-10-10T13:14:41.064Z","url":"https://settd.com/p/418","thumbnail":null},"comments":[{"id":403,"name":"200-week MA is the only line I watch","body":"In every major cycle the 200-week moving average has marked the bottom zone. Weekly RSI is at historic lows, below 2022 levels. The drawdown from $126K is about 35%, which in percentage terms is milder than summer 2021 (65K to 28K, roughly 55%), and that recovered to a new all-time high before the cycle ended. The capitulation checklist — Fear & Greed low, search spikes, supply at a loss — is flashing together, which historically precedes bottoms. But bottoms are zones, not moments, and they can drag for months. If you are DCA-ing money you can lose, the zone argument is fair. If you are lump-summing on a single signal, that is just timing with extra steps.","score":1,"rank_score":1,"author":{"username":"dandev","verified":false},"voted":false,"vote":0,"created_at":"2026-10-10T13:21:42.750Z"}],"pagination":{"limit":50,"offset":0,"has_more":false,"next_offset":null}}