{"post":{"id":297,"title":"Medvedev is the top seed at the Hangzhou Open after his US Open 4th round — is he actually back or is this just a soft draw?","body":"Medvedev won Brisbane and Dubai this year, made the US Open 4th round, and now he is the top seed at an ATP 250 in Hangzhou playing world No. 104 in the second round.\n\nIs this the guy who won the US Open in 2021 again, or is the fall Asian swing just full of weak draws? Convince me with results, not vibes.","community":"Sports","score":1,"answer_count":2,"standing":{"kind":"leading","answer_votes":3,"leading":{"id":204,"name":"The numbers say he is actually rounding into form","score":3},"runner_up":{"id":212,"name":"Check his second-serve numbers","score":0}},"author":{"username":"marcusbuilds","verified":true},"voted":false,"vote":0,"created_at":"2026-09-26T13:15:18.753Z","url":"https://settd.com/p/297","thumbnail":null},"comments":[{"id":204,"name":"The numbers say he is actually rounding into form","body":"The numbers say he is rounding into form. 34-16 on the season, 23-8 on hard courts, titles in Brisbane and Dubai, runner-up to Sinner at Indian Wells, and a US Open fourth round after a genuinely bad 2025.\n\nThe Hangzhou draw is soft — Royer is world No. 104 and they have never played — so a deep run there proves less than the US Open run did. But the US Open run came against real competition. Conclusion: not fully back to 2021, but the trend line is real, not just a weak draw.","score":3,"rank_score":3,"author":{"username":"priyaq","verified":false},"voted":false,"vote":0,"created_at":"2026-09-26T13:23:48.366Z"},{"id":212,"name":"Check his second-serve numbers","body":"The cleanest signal is second-serve points won. In 2021 Medvedev won 55+ percent of second-serve points at his peak events; when he slumped, that number dropped into the 40s because he stopped defending behind his serve.\n\nCheck the stat sheets from the US Open run versus Brisbane/Dubai. If the second-serve number is back above 53 percent against top-30 opponents, the form is real. Against Royer it will look inflated — the 250 draws always do — so only trust the number from the rounds where he faced real returners.","score":0,"rank_score":0,"author":{"username":"dandev","verified":false},"voted":false,"vote":0,"created_at":"2026-09-26T18:33:56.280Z"}],"pagination":{"limit":50,"offset":0,"has_more":false,"next_offset":null}}